Decision Quality | SPG Research Group

Judgment Diagnostic

How does your judgment actually work?

Judgment is not a fixed trait. It is a set of specific, measurable constructs: calibration, disconfirmation, temporal reasoning, decoupling, information triage and resolve. Most leaders over-index on some and under-index on others in ways they cannot see without a structured instrument.

6 dimensions22 decision scenariosFree scan availableNo obvious right answerFor high-stakes decision makers
Start with the free scan →Go to the full diagnostic →

The Judgment Diagnostic is a behavioral self-report instrument grounded in decision-science constructs. They are directional indicators of self-reported behavioral tendency, not validated psychometric measurements, clinical assessments or classifications. Use results as development inputs, not selection criteria.

The problem this solves

Confidence and accuracy are not the same thing, and you cannot feel the difference from the inside.

Self-ratings of "good judgment" tell you how you see yourself. Scenarios with no obvious right answer show how you actually trade off evidence, time horizons, ego and uncertainty. The result is a profile of where your decision-making tends to be sharp and where error is most likely to cluster.

What a self-rating asks

"How good is your judgment?" Everyone answers above average, so the answer carries little information.

What the Diagnostic does

It puts you inside decisions and reads the pattern in your choices across six dimensions, so the result reflects behavior rather than self-image.

The six dimensions

Six constructs. One judgment profile.

Each dimension is scored on a continuous scale, not a binary high or low.

1

Calibration

Knowing what you do not know.

Whether your confidence matches your accuracy: neither overclaiming certainty nor underselling real knowledge.

2

Disconfirmation

Updating against your own priors.

The active habit of seeking evidence that your current belief is wrong, and revising when it is.

3

Temporal Reasoning

Short, medium and long horizons at once.

Tracing the consequence of the consequence, not just this quarter.

4

Decoupling

Separating ego and emotion from the call.

Judging a decision on its merits, and changing your mind without experiencing it as defeat.

5

Information Triage

Signal versus noise under overload.

Identifying which information is decision-relevant when there is too much of it.

6

Resolve

Deciding and owning it under uncertainty.

Committing to a call without perfect information, and standing behind it.

What you receive

A profile level and a map of where error clusters.

The scan places you at one of four judgment profile levels and flags the dimensions most likely to cause error.

Sharp

Judgment is consistently well calibrated across the dimensions.

Functional

Generally sound, with some dimensions to strengthen.

Significant Gaps

Specific dimensions where systematic error is likely to form.

Critical

Several dimensions where judgment is likely to fail under pressure.

How it is used

For an individual, or for a team.

Individual

See your own judgment profile before a high-stakes decision, a new role or a board seat, and choose which dimension to build first.

Free scan · Full diagnostic with personalised report

Team

See how a group's judgment profiles combine: where the team shares a blind spot and where members cover for each other.

Team diagnostic · Contact us for scope

Free versus full

What each version gives you.

The scan gives a direction. The full diagnostic gives a precise, scenario-grounded profile.

Free scanFull diagnostic
FormatFive direct questionsTwenty-two decision scenarios
DimensionsAll six, as a directional proxyAll six, scenario-grounded
OutputProfile level and dimension flagsFull dimension scores and where blind spots cluster
ReportOn-screen resultPersonalised report

Design principles

How the instrument is built.

Scenarios, not self-ratings

No obvious right answer, so the pattern in your choices carries the information.

Constructs, not a personality type

Each dimension describes a skill you can build, not a fixed trait.

Anonymous by default

Nothing is stored unless you purchase the full report.

Get access

Start with the scan, or go straight to the diagnostic.

Part of the SPG decision-quality ecosystem

Pairs with your other SPG tools

The Judgment Diagnostic looks at how you decide. The SIA looks at how you think. The Governance Compass looks at how you govern.

Explore the SIA →Explore the Governance Compass →All paths →

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